Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 3.444055 4.022283 4.683550 5.499180 6.482843 7.636711 9.101260
2025-02-02 2.653981 3.409740 4.375419 5.715203 7.550158 10.010854 13.621188
2025-02-09 2.266150 3.099310 4.245276 5.968021 8.547446 12.357103 18.585051
2025-02-16 1.958809 2.812196 4.055756 6.048997 9.258372 14.395627 23.608413
2025-02-23 1.739351 2.601764 3.921897 6.158727 9.998445 16.605236 29.505572
2025-03-02 1.533605 2.374059 3.715000 6.097326 10.419861 18.345892 35.052580
2025-03-09 1.399777 2.237319 3.626587 6.208386 11.149567 20.791346 42.725793
2025-03-16 1.261031 2.071461 3.461476 6.147787 11.536309 22.651781 49.757918
2025-03-23 1.149866 1.937186 3.330149 6.122796 11.979825 24.724394 57.988601
2025-03-30 1.041923 1.794720 3.163595 5.999127 12.189307 26.330243 65.637723
2025-04-06 0.976778 1.721667 3.115378 6.103228 12.909451 29.292189 78.075832
2025-04-13 0.892423 1.602944 2.963966 5.966142 13.053341 30.885984 87.234183
2025-04-20 0.859514 1.589009 3.037756 6.377941 14.716744 37.232074 115.568519
2025-04-27 0.809788 1.538122 3.034681 6.633790 16.118370 43.567057 148.803850
2025-05-04 0.769368 1.499582 3.049898 6.934174 17.729544 51.216928 193.048431
2025-05-11 0.718009 1.430885 2.987776 7.030445 18.806568 57.683989 238.133489
2025-05-18 0.674756 1.373732 2.942583 7.160960 20.032542 65.265015 295.901541
2025-05-25 0.623701 1.292864 2.829966 7.087921 20.610864 70.801417 349.174811
2025-06-01 0.589885 1.246689 2.793609 7.220045 21.911096 79.865730 433.693159
2025-06-08 0.548661 1.178466 2.693209 7.147945 22.498887 86.335947 510.624837
2025-06-15 0.513716 1.121047 2.612184 7.118216 23.240606 93.966443 607.258940
2025-06-22 0.476826 1.054908 2.499868 6.971150 23.507677 99.591215 697.810021
2025-06-29 0.455035 1.023290 2.474429 7.094940 24.884839 111.680572 866.521934